On Saturday 19 February 2005 Sîan Jones gave a talk on the NPT. She has now kindly sent us this slightly modified version:
I’m going to present some of the available evidence which suggests that the UK government is preparing to develop the next generation of nuclear weapons, either in the form of a replacement to Trident or in the development of new weapons systems (probably in conjunction with the USA)m which we believe would violate the UK’s UK’s obligations under Article VI of the NPT: “Each of the Parties to the Treaty undertakes to pursue negotiations in good faith on effective measures relating to cessation of the nuclear arms race at an early date and to nuclear disarmament, and on a treaty on general and complete disarmament under strict and effective international control.” [1]
1. Government statements
In March 2004, the Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs, Bill Rammell MP citing the December 2003 White Paper stated, “Decisions on whether to replace Trident are not needed during this Parliament, but are likely to be required in the next one. We will therefore continue to take appropriate steps to ensure that the range of options for maintaining a nuclear deterrent capability is kept open until that decision point.” [2]
Amplifying this point the Secretary of State for Defence on
This work referred to was envisaged in the Strategic Defence Review in 1998, which stated: “Following ratification by the United Kingdom in 1998 of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, the maintenance of Trident and the capability to build a successor will have to be achieved without conducting nuclear tests. This poses considerable scientific and technical challenges. We are therefore developing a complex science-based programme at AWE that will require special facilities across a variety of disciplines. These are the main drivers for the future development of the Aldermaston site."
2. Developments at AWE Aldermaston
We will present evidence to suggest that the decision has been all-but made, and that plans to build the infrastructure required to support the next generation of nuclear weapons are in place, and that construction of at least one element on this infrastructure will begin in 2005.
Although each of these elements could, as AWE and the government state, as some scientists suggest, be used merely for the stockpile stewardship operations, we suggest that – taken with government statements in s. 1 – it is more likely that they represent a substantial investment in facilities to assist in the design and development of new systems.
We note that the Trident system took 14 years to complete, from decision to deployment. Trident was brought into service in 1994, and has a life-span of 30 years, to 2024. Although there are arguments that this may be extended, if the same timescale were envisaged, work on a replacement system would have to begin by 2010. -[6]
3. The Mutual Defence Agreement
Under the 1958 Mutual Defence
Agreement, scientists at Aldermaston regularly take part in exchanges and experiments
with their counterparts at nuclear facilities in the
The exchange of technical information on warhead
matters takes place regularly in Joint Working Groups and through exchange of
information and visit reports between AWE and the
In 2002 313 AWE scientists visited
25 US institutions including Dept. of Defence, laboratories, arms companies
and other sites including the Los Alamos National Laboratory, Lawrence Livermore
National Laboratory, National Nuclear Security Administration Headquarters,
Bechtel Nevada and Lockheed Martin Missiles and Space. 485 scientists from 19
With the exception of the now decommissioned WE-177 free fall bomb, all UK systems – including the current Trident system – have, since 1958 been developed in conjunction with the US under the MDA (see para 1.7, Briefing paper).
US nuclear policy and practice may indicate that AWE Aldermaston may be involved
in the research and development of low-yield “useable” nuclear weapons; we
do not know what the impact of the decision to deny funding for the
This would suggest that the new facilities at Aldermaston could be used to assist in the design and development process of
And/or
[1] For the UK Government’s position, see e.g.
Hansard, HL Debates,
[2]
Hansard, HC Debates,
[4] The Site Development Strategy Plan includes four elements which, combined together, would enable AWE to design, test and build new weapons:
[5] Aldermaston is run as a government-owned, contractor-operated company. The current contractors, AWE ml, comprise British Nuclear Fuels Ltd (BNFL), Lockheed Martin and Serco. The UK government retains the “golden share” in the company, AWE plc.
[6] Options for a new generation weapon detonated by a relatively small thermonuclear explosion could be perfected at laboratory level in 10-15 years, Disarmament Diplomacy, Volume 76, March/April 2004.
[7] For example, on 14th February 2002 the Los Alamos
National Laboratory carried out an underground sub-critical test at the